> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.amberdata.io/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Reserve Risk

<img src="https://mintcdn.com/amberdata/K1lRsbAeowhJaNOp/images/docs/6f399be-Screenshot_2024-02-29_at_2.49.31_PM.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=K1lRsbAeowhJaNOp&q=85&s=d1cf29fbebd4e5b77be1245e017c9a39" alt="" width="682" height="361" data-path="images/docs/6f399be-Screenshot_2024-02-29_at_2.49.31_PM.png" />

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# Description

**Reserve Risk** is an indicator that measures the confidence of long-term holders relative to the current price of Bitcoin. It reflects the balance between price and conviction. A low Reserve Risk value suggests high confidence among long-term holders while the asset is undervalued. Conversely, a high Reserve Risk value suggests low confidence during periods of elevated price, indicating increased speculative risk.

Reserve Risk is designed to identify optimal periods for capital deployment based on long-term holder sentiment. Historically, periods of low Reserve Risk have been associated with outsized long-term returns, while periods of high Reserve Risk have preceded market corrections or sustained downtrends.

Coverage is currently available for **Bitcoin (BTC)** only.

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# Use Case

Reserve risk can help traders understand when it is a good time to buy and researchers to analyze the confidence of long-term holders.

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# Methodology

Reserve Risk = Price / HODL Bank

HODL Bank = cumulative sum(price - median value of Coin Days Destroyed)

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